The disease areas covered in this article are those most likely to feature approved vaccine products in the near future. As a result of recent advances, it is likely that sales of emerging vaccine products will add $9 billion to the vaccine market in six years, and that these emerging vaccines will add over $24 billion to the vaccine market in 2020. (This is in addition to the $22 billion and growing vaccine market that exists today).
This projection assumes that a good number of vaccine candidates currently in Phase III will be commercialized in 2012, several candidates in Phase II will enter the market in 2014, and some of the candidates in Phase I will launch in 2016. It is unlikely that all candidates will be approved, but assuming that vaccine candidate failures follow normal historical trends, we predict total sales of emerging vaccines will hit $25 billion in 2020.